Friday, June 15, 2012

Our long national nightmare is over

And don't get me wrong, I love the Euro tournament and absolutely adore the Open Cup, but after a long break it's great to be back in MLS action, even if I'm stuck away in the godforsake hell hole the is middle New Jersey. But none of that matters. What matters is... numbers. Are numbers, I guess, if we're trying to stay with good grammar. And we are.

Here's how we're looking for this weekends MLS action, prediction wise, once again with an added confidence factor, because why not.

Team
Result
GD
Confidence
DC
WIN
+1
84.30%
Philadelphia
LOSS
-1
84.30%
Vancouver
WIN
+2
90.68%
Colorado
LOSS
-2
90.68%
Montreal 
DRAW
0
79.56%
Seattle
DRAW
0
79.56%
New England
WIN
+2
90.47%
Columbus
LOSS
-2
90.47%
Houston
WIN
+2
99.84%
Dallas
LOSS
-2
99.84%
Kansas City
WIN
+3
100.00%
Toronto
LOSS
-3
100.00%
Salt Lake City
WIN
+1
76.22%
Chivas
LOSS
-1
76.22%
Chicago
DRAW
0
78.67%
New York
DRAW
0
78.67%
Portland
LOSS
-1
78.22%
LA
WIN
+1
78.22%

You know what scares me most? That SKC score line and confidence. The last time I saw something like that was the Montreal game and... well... I don't want to talk about it. Oooo, should we look at how well the model is doing? We shall.

Another correct results bumps the mighty excel spreadsheet up to 59 out of 122, for 48.4% accuracy, with 14 matches picked exactly wrong and 49 results that got screwy because of draws and stuff.

Bottom line, we're edging close to a 50% accuracy rating, which, at this point, I'll take.

No comments:

Post a Comment