Wednesday, May 23, 2012

I calls it likes I sees it

So a very slight uptick in last weeks prediction success rate. 5 correct out of 11, with 1 completely wrong and 5 mixed draw results. Correct percentage creeps up slightly to 44.9%. Of course, the downside to all this guess work is that in MLS, the home team has a winning % of 49.5%. So, if you just always pick the home team to win, you'll do slightly better than I would.

The flip side is the "experts" over at MLS haven't figured this out either. As far as I can tell, the best expert picks have gone at 45.8%. Make of that what you will, I guess? Callups are gonna be crazy I think though. Hard to tell who's gonna be hurt and who's gonna be helped...

At any rate, I guess what I'm trying to say is... here's this weeks predictions!

Team       ResultGDConfidence
New YorkWIN+281.65%
ChivasLOSS-281.65%
ChicagoWIN+197.93%
DallasLOSS-197.93%
SeattleWIN+2100.00%
ColumbusLOSS-2100.00%
LADRAW088.13%
San JoseDRAW088.13%
HoustonWIN+186.91%
LALOSS-186.91%
TorontoDRAW077.48%
PhiladelphiaDRAW077.48%
ColumbusWIN+189.47%
ChicagoLOSS-189.47%
DCWIN+192.54%
New EnglandLOSS-192.54%
ColoradoWIN+292.90%
MontrealLOSS-292.88%
Real Salt LakeWIN+2100.00%
DallasLOSS-2100.00%
PortlandDRAW086.65%
VancouverDRAW086.65%
ChivasDRAW055.47%
SeattleDRAW055.47%
Kansas CityWIN+189.54%
San JoseLOSS-189.54%

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